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Export diversification and economic performance: evidence from Brazil, China, India and South Africa

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dc.contributor.author Rossouw, Riaan
dc.contributor.author Naudé, Willem Adriaan
dc.date.accessioned 2012-10-02T06:41:07Z
dc.date.available 2012-10-02T06:41:07Z
dc.date.issued 2011
dc.identifier.citation Naudé, W.A. & Rossouw, R. 2011. Export diversification and economic performance: evidence from Brazil, China, India and South Africa. Economic change and restructuring, 44:99-134. [http://www.springerlink.com/content/1573-9414/] en_US
dc.identifier.issn 1573-9414
dc.identifier.issn 1574-0277 (Online)
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10394/7416
dc.description.abstract In this paper we discuss relationship between export diversity and economic performance, focusing on Brazil, China, India and South Africa (BCIS). Using time data on exports over the period 1962–2000 and Applied General Equilibrium (AGE) models for each country, we note the similarities as well as differences in the patterns of diversification in these countries. We find evidence of a U-shape relationship between per capita income and export specialization in at least China and South Africa, and given that the results from Granger causality testing are inconclusive and not robust with regards to export diversification measures, some preliminary evidence from the results suggest that export diversification Granger causes GDP per capita in Brazil, China and South Africa, but not in India, where it is rather GDP per capita changes that are driving export diversification.From AGE modeling we find that South Africa differs from the other economies in that it is the only case where export diversification has an unambiguously positive impact on economic development while in contrast in Brazil, China and India, it is rather export specialization that is preferred. We show that the manner in which export diversification is obtained may be important: if it is obtained with less of a reduction in traditional exports, the impacts are better (less negative). en_US
dc.description.uri http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10644-010-9089-1
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Springer Science & Business Media en_US
dc.subject Exports en_US
dc.subject diversification en_US
dc.subject specialization en_US
dc.subject applied general equilibrium modeling en_US
dc.title Export diversification and economic performance: evidence from Brazil, China, India and South Africa en_US
dc.type Article en_US


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